Monday, May 12, 2008

Doom and Gloom! Whee!

I know everyone thinks that I'm the perennial financial doom-meister, and, although I think that recent history is actually backing me up, I'd still like to be thought of as kind of a sunny guy.

...but then it's so hard when you see graphs like this:


When you look at this from a bank solvency perspective, you just gotta wonder how they're going to pay all this back. Or are they? Now that the Fed is even taking credit card debt as collateral1, maybe the plan is just to nationalize all the bad credit, which would be the bail-out of the millennium, and so far beyond the pale that the term "moral hazard" just doesn't work any more.

Students of American history might recognize a few of those "tiny" upward blips....

Yours,

Mr. Sunny Outlook Guy



1 Just because Congress said you can't wipe out credit-card debt via Chapter 11 doesn't mean these'll actually be worth anything in a high-foreclosure environment that actually makes Chapter 7 look like a better long-term deal for the debtor.

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