Monday, October 05, 2009

It's Officially Here



That's YoY price changes; deflation is now here even when measured by price (the symptom thereof, not the real thing). It was already here, of course, but now we can expect to see people asking the government to find a way to keep prices from coming down (insanity...)

And in other fun, here's the first negative disposable personal income in 60 years:

(hat tip: the above from Mike Shedlock)


What kind of insanity might we expect people to ask from the government now that the chips are officially down? Price supports? Consumer dept-relief? Michael Moore in the White House (now that he's made all that money going after, to paraphrase Bill Hicks, "that anticapitalism dollar -- that's a great market!")? Whatever it's gonna be, hang onto yer hat and save your pennies, because money's getting more expensive, and that'll make debt even more so.



For more cheerfulness, head to EconomPic's latest labor force graphs.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

The Fed, Again

The FDIC's reserve balance just went negative -- they're going to charge member banks three month's dues in advance in order to compensate. This's the moral equivalent of the FDIC borrowing from its member banks in order to sustain them.

In other news, nearly half of all treasury bonds purchased at recent auctions (which's how the sales are conducted) were bought not by regular investors or by foreign central banks, but by our own Fed, which, conveniently enough, is purchasing lower-grade paper from other central banks to help fund their continued purchase of treasuries.

Needless to say, I'm a big supporter of the bill to audit the bastards.

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Vérinage

Apparently the French have been demolishing buildings 9/11-style (sans aircraft) for quite a long time and consider it a standard demo technique, called "vérinage". The general idea is that the weight of the top portion of the building, even though it can be supported by the building, contains such a massive amount of potential energy that once it's fallen a story or two it can easily sheer through any and all support beneath it.

To my uneducated eye this looks exactly like the World Trade Center's collapse, especially in the three aspects of

  1. Massive ejection of dust & debris
  2. Near free-fall appearance ("near" because if you can eyeball the difference between a 9.8 m/s*s fall and an 9.0 m/s*s fall, you're a better man than I)
  3. Sheer vertical collapse similar to standard U.S. explosives-based demolition.

While I cannot declare with absolute certainty that the twin towers falling was the work of physics and not a nefarious plot by an evil vice-president and his secret legion of freedom-hating evil-doers, it's good enough for me.     :D


"A compilation of demolitions conducted using the French demolition technique of vérinage. This is achieved with hydraulics that push structural members out of alignment, allowing the top portion of a building to then demolish the structure below via gravity alone, without the use of explosives. Note that the collapses are rapid and produce copious dust."

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Energy Storage is EASY

I was astounded by another article I saw this morning talking about the problem of storing energy that photovoltaics, wind-power, etc. all face. The article went on to talk about truly massive (city-sized) electrical batteries, ultracapacitors (which'll be great for cars) and other devices. For small-scale use, the problem remains, but for broad-scale power production where energy is only produced during the day, but the amounts of energy being produced are massive, why hasn't anyone thought of digging a big basement and almost filling it with a massive concrete block? When you need to store power, you lift the block up to ground level, and when you want to draw power, you lower it. If you want your power I/O to be very sharp-edged, you use a simple pulley (or massive rotating beam serving as a pulley); multiple pulleys can be rigged for any level of I/O you want. Now, granted, conversion back and forth from mechanical to electrical energy will have losses, but given the non-linear response to compressing a gas (not to mention keeping a pressurized cavern airtight), friction losses from flywheels, etc., it can't be that bad.

But what really gets me is that no-one's mentioned it before even though potential energy is part of high-school physics -- could it be that hard? Really?

Friday, July 24, 2009

Why California is Doomed




I motion that logic, rhetoric and economics be taught in Junior High School, and that any students receiving less than a C on a standardized test thereof be immediately fed to rabid stoats.

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